Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.032734 0.038179 0.044176 0.051261 0.059391 0.068418 0.079190
2025-08-17 0.023885 0.030782 0.039089 0.049791 0.063169 0.079294 0.100151
2025-08-24 0.018618 0.026187 0.036041 0.049719 0.068106 0.091846 0.124682
2025-08-31 0.014511 0.022091 0.032674 0.048370 0.070864 0.101704 0.146897
2025-09-07 0.012487 0.020379 0.032092 0.050491 0.078345 0.118532 0.180368
2025-09-14 0.010438 0.018181 0.030347 0.050497 0.082575 0.131052 0.209007
2025-09-21 0.008574 0.015888 0.028014 0.049121 0.084333 0.139875 0.232881
2025-09-28 0.007254 0.014238 0.026407 0.048582 0.087188 0.150499 0.260458
2025-10-05 0.006688 0.013814 0.026783 0.051381 0.095821 0.171186 0.306255
2025-10-12 0.006073 0.013175 0.026657 0.053224 0.102945 0.189985 0.350657
2025-10-19 0.005158 0.011773 0.024888 0.051764 0.103905 0.198166 0.377439
2025-10-26 0.004493 0.010762 0.023708 0.051229 0.106439 0.209272 0.410311
2025-11-02 0.003803 0.009582 0.022038 0.049549 0.106686 0.216430 0.437135
2025-11-09 0.003257 0.008622 0.020678 0.048305 0.107630 0.224975 0.467416
2025-11-16 0.002887 0.008007 0.019965 0.048326 0.111131 0.238772 0.509081
2025-11-23 0.002484 0.007226 0.018750 0.047057 0.111733 0.246820 0.540104
2025-11-30 0.002336 0.007078 0.018996 0.049147 0.119867 0.270989 0.605951
2025-12-07 0.002090 0.006614 0.018400 0.049164 0.123354 0.285751 0.653622
2025-12-14 0.001810 0.005994 0.017312 0.047828 0.123556 0.293471 0.687047
2025-12-21 0.001604 0.005546 0.016593 0.047305 0.125593 0.305362 0.730503
2025-12-28 0.001551 0.005556 0.017109 0.050037 0.135814 0.336485 0.819047
2026-01-04 0.001464 0.005443 0.017266 0.051836 0.143920 0.363488 0.900557
2026-01-11 0.001278 0.004959 0.016287 0.050412 0.143695 0.371092 0.938364